Transfer Targets #2

The demand for players that gain transfer links has temporarily replaced the usual demand we see for players following their strong performances - as the potential to earn media dividends is currently a substitute for the potential to earn match day dividends.


As discussed in the last 'Transfer Targets' post, players gaining transfer speculation are likely to rise in price due to the absence of football. In just 4 days, we have already seen very positive price movements in some of the 8 players highlighted in this post (Maxime Lopez up 6p, Odsonne Edouard up 8p, Said Benrahma up 9p and Calvin Stengs up 12p).


Many other players highlighted throughout previous blogs could be strong transfer holds and you can find over 35 more players in the 'Summer 2020 Quality, Young, Transfer Targets' post.


Researching players who's current contract will be coming to an end over the next 18 months and looking into who player's agents are can be useful to find players who could gain transfer links.


With increased pressure on finances unfortunately coming as a consequence of Covid-19, teams who are financially vulnerable, relegated teams in particular, may also be looking to sell some of their best talents this summer too.


Whilst there is a lack of football, there is likely to be increased interest from the market into players gaining transfer links. However, once football returns and depending on when the transfer window opens - this interest in players gaining transfer links may fade.


Many of the players highlighted below are still fairly young and so could be strong longer term holds with a transfer likely over the next 6 months.


Below are players who could gain transfer links and therefore rise in price, for the reasons below:


Lorenzo Pellegrini

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Price: £2.35

Team: Roma

Age: 23

Position: Midfielder (Central)

Country: Italy

Top 5 PB Scores: 223, 191, 178, 178, 178

Pros:

  • Transfer Speculation - recently linked to Everton and Inter Milan

  • 2.9 key passes per game

  • Italy International

  • High PB potential

  • 8 assists in 18 games this season

  • Relatively young

  • Reportedly has a £26 million release clause

Cons:

  • Low PB scores in recent games

  • Relatively high price


Eberechi Eze

Eberechi Eze

Price: £2.24 *Highlighted last month at £1.84

Team: Queens Park Rangers

Age: 21

Position: Midfielder (Attacking)

Country: England

Top 5 PB Scores: N/A

Pros:

  • 12 goals and 8 assists in the Championship this season

  • Transfer Speculation to the Premier League very likely with Tottenham Hotspur reportedly interested

  • Out of contract in June 2021

  • Strong at key passes (Avg 1.9 per game) - could suit the PB matrix

  • Young

Cons:

  • Price has increased recently

  • Currently in a Non-PB league

  • Transfer built into price already (Though could rise further due to speculation)

Milot Rashica

Milot Rashica

Price: £2.03

Team: Werder Bremen

Age: 23

Position: Midfielder (Winger)

Country: Kosovo

Top 5 PB Scores: 232, 175, 142, 127, 104

Pros:

  • 7 goals and 4 assists for Werder Bremen this season

  • It is very likely Werder Bremen will be relegated

  • Transfer Speculation to the Premier League

  • PB potential at a stronger side

  • Relatively young

Cons:

  • Transfer built into price already (Though could rise further due to speculation)

Dominik Szobozlai

Dominik Szobozlai

Price: £1.71

Team: RB Salzburg

Age: 19

Position: Midfielder (Center)

Country: Hungary

Top 5 PB Scores: 167, 120, 119, 111, 110

Pros:

  • Transfer Speculation - recently linked to Lazio, Inter and AC Milan (Though unlikely to lead to Media Dividends)

  • Strong at key passes

  • Very young

  • Hungary International

  • RB Salzburg often sell their best talents to strong European teams


Cons:

  • Non-PB league

Nicolas De La Cruz

Nicolas De La Cruz

Price: £1.35

Team: River Plate

Age: 22

Position: Midfielder (Winger)

Country: Argentina

Top 5 PB Scores: N/A

Pros:

  • Very strong at key passes (Avg 3 per game) - could suit the PB matrix

  • Relatively young

  • 4 goals and 5 assists in 17 games for River Plate so far this season

  • Capable of scoring free kicks

  • Out of contract in June 2021

  • Only 5p above IPO price (Relatively Low potential downside)

Cons:

  • Non-PB league

  • Lack of transfer speculation to a PB league so far

  • Likely to remain a fairly stagnant hold unless transfer links appear

Patson Daka

Patson Daka

Price: £1.22

Team: RB Salzburg

Age: 21

Position: Forward

Country: Zambia

Top 5 PB Scores: 62, 55, 54, 22, 7

Pros:

  • 17 goals in 21 games in Austrian Bundesliga so far this season

  • Young

  • RB Salzburg often sell their best talents to strong European teams

Cons:

  • Extended his contract to 2024 in December 2019

  • Low PB scores

Habib Diallo

Habib Diallo

Price: £1.07

Team: Metz

Age: 24

Position: Forward

Country: Senegal

Top 5 PB Scores: 229, 211, 186, 147, 102

Pros:

  • 12 goals in 26 games for this season and 26 goals in 37 games last season for Metz

  • Linked to various English sides including Chelsea, Leicester City and Leeds United (Tenuous links)

  • Currently plays for a relatively weak team - could improve at a stronger side

Cons:

  • Reports in January suggest Diallo wanted to stay at Metz despite the transfer links

Aleksey Miranchuk

Aleksey Miranchuk

Price: £0.97

Team: Lokomotiv Moscow

Age: 24

Position: Midfielder (Attacking)

Country: Russia

Top 5 PB Scores: 220, 95, 79, 77, 66

Pros:

  • Strong at key passes (Avg 2.1 per game)

  • Out of contract in June 2021

  • Previously been linked to strong teams in PB leagues

  • Russia International

Cons:

  • Non-PB league

Jean-Phillipe Mateta

Jean-Phillipe Mateta

Price: £0.94

Team: Mainz 05

Age: 22

Position: Forward

Country: France

Top 5 PB Scores: 82, 80, 45, 18, 14

Pros:

  • Relatively young

  • Previously been linked to stronger sides

  • 14 goals in 34 games last season

  • Reportedly wants to leave Mainz 05 at the end of the season

  • Mainz could face relegation - which is likely to lead to a transfer

Cons:

  • Low PB scores

  • Performances have not been so strong since returning from injury

Ibrahim Sangare

Ibrahim Sangare

Price: £0.89

Team: Toulouse

Age: 22

Position: Midfielder (Defensive)

Country: Ivory Coast

Top 5 PB Scores: 141, 127, 126, 122, 119

Pros:

  • Relatively young

  • Out of contract in June 2021

  • Toulouse all but relegated (17 points from safety with 10 games remaining)

  • Previously gained transfer speculation - relegation is very likely to lead to a transfer

Cons:

  • Lower price ceiling as a defensive midfielder

  • Very low peak PB scores

Axel Disasi

Axel Disasi

Price: £0.69

Team: Stade de Reims

Age: 22

Position: Defender (Center Back)

Country: France

Top 5 PB Scores: 154, 144, 150, 114, 109

Pros:

  • Relatively young

  • Stade De Reims are very solid defensively (Partly due to Disasi) with the 2nd lowest amount of goals conceded in Ligue 1

  • Strong performances this season likely to lead to future transfer speculation

  • Fairly low price

Cons:

  • Lower price ceiling as a center back

  • Low PB scores

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