Taking advantage of drops / injuries #3

Last month we saw many players drop in price as panic swept over parts of the market and fear of further drops resulted in many traders selling their shares.


There were many reasons for traders to sell players during this period of time. Some traders had seen better opportunities in the market elsewhere, some needed the funds for personal reasons due to the impacts of Covid-19, some did not wish to 'risk' keeping their money in what was temporarily a falling market and there was also some herd behaviour with traders following each other in selling.


Whether selling players was the right decision will mostly depend on ones personal circumstances, but either way, this opened up an opportunity to take advantage of drops in many value players. The general consensus throughout Football Index Club blogs last month was that it was a great time to buy and the results show that, so far, this was definitely the right call.



The 16 players highlighted in the 'Taking advantage of drops / injuries' blogs are already up a very impressive, market beating 7.72% in less than 30 days since being highlighted.


Often when quality, young players that have a strong chance of earning dividends in the future drop considerably in price, it can be a great time to go against what the rest of the market is doing and purchase these players. As discussed recently, 'Timing is Key', but as long as the players had not clearly become over-inflated in price due to a temporary market trend - such players will almost certainly rebound in price and continue to rise longer term.


Recency bias plays a huge part in many trading decisions and many players who's performances have perhaps not been so good in recent months or have been injured have been largely neglected recently.


Meanwhile, players who had been in fantastic form prior to fixtures being cancelled have surged in price as traders regained confidence in the market as well as the added incentive of the net bonus period.


Again this opens another opportunity to buy into players who have, to some extent, been fairly forgotten recently which has been resulted in lower prices. Below are players which are being highlighted as potentially valuable as they have previously shown quality / potential in the past and are currently at what appears to be favourable prices.


Some of the players below have also been injured recently and are likely to be fit again once football returns and so could rise in price upon their return.


Kingsley Coman

Kingsley Coman

Price: £2.20

Team: Bayern Munich

Age: 23

Position: Forward (Winger)

Country: France

Top 5 PB Scores: 237, 231, 199, 195, 164

Pros:

  • High PB scores

  • Relatively young

  • Returning from a strain injury

  • Bundesliga likely to be the 1st league to return

  • Bayern Munich are in the later stages of the Champions League

  • France International

  • Dropped 9.5% from peak price in 2020

Cons:

  • Injury prone

  • Risky - he has previously said that he will consider retirement if injury troubles persist

  • Competing with Lewandowski and now also Serge Gnabry (Recently changed to Forward) for PB within the Bayern Munich side

  • Lack of game time (Mostly due to injuries)


Steven Bergwijn

Steven Berwijn

Price: £1.83

Team: Tottenham Hotspur

Age: 22

Position: Forward (Winger)

Country: Netherlands

Top 5 PB Scores: 169, 154, 143, 109, 97

Pros:

  • Relatively young

  • Netherlands International

  • Dropped 22.7% from peak price in 2020

  • Returns from injury at the end of May - possibly before the return of the Premier League

Cons:

  • Currently injured

  • Price had been built up mostly on transfer speculation (However, he was still as high as £2.36 after his first few games for Tottenham)

Domenico Berardi

Domenico Berardi

Price: £1.80

Team: Sassuolo

Age: 25

Position: Forward (Winger)

Country: Italy

Top 5 PB Scores: 262, 228, 223, 175, 173

Pros:

  • High PB scores

  • Dropped 13.4% from peak price in 2020

  • Italy International

  • Transfer Speculation

Cons:

  • Price has already been built up partly on transfer speculation

Benjamin Mendy

Benjamin Mendy

Price: £1.30

Team: Manchester City

Age: 25

Position: Defender (Left Back)

Country: France

Top 5 PB Scores: 238, 234, 206, 173, 158

Pros:

  • High PB scores

  • Manchester City are in the later stages of the Champions League

  • Price is currently at a 6 month low

  • France International

Cons:

  • Competition for Left Back spot within the Manchester City side

  • Fairly injury prone

Yusuf Yazici


Yusuf Yazici

Price: £1.17

Team: Lille

Age: 23

Position: Midfielder (Attacking)

Country: Turkey

Top 5 PB Scores: 132, 112, 99, 54, 41

Pros:

  • Relatively young

  • Returns from injury at the end of April (Likely to be fully fit once Ligue 1 matches return)

  • Turkey International

  • Potential to hit high PB scores in the future (Strong at set-pieces and key passes)

Cons:

  • Low PB scores so far

  • Lack of regular game time prior to injury

Nico Elvedi

Nico Elvedi

Price: £1.05

Team: Borussia Monchengladbach

Age: 23

Position: Defender (Center Back)

Country: Switzerland

Top 5 PB Scores: 220, 208, 195, 194, 187

Pros:

  • High PB average (120)

  • Relatively young

  • Previously gained transfer speculation

  • Switzerland International

  • Bundesliga likely to be the 1st league to return

Cons:

  • Lower price ceiling as a center back

  • Increased in price already this week due to speculation of Bundesliga returning 1st


Denis Geiger


Denis Geiger

Team: 1899 Hoffenheim

Age: 21

Position: Midfielder (Center)

Country: Germany

Top 5 PB Scores: 151, 100, 92, 89, 84

Pros:

  • Young

  • Strong at key passes

  • Germany Youth International

  • Recently returned from injury (Likely to be fully fit now for when Bundesliga games return)

  • Bundesliga likely to be the 1st league to return

Cons:

  • Low peak PB score

  • Lack of game time

Angelo Fulgini


Price: £0.72

Team: Angers

Age: 23

Position: Midfielder (Winger)

Country: France

Top 5 PB Scores: 180, 144, 144, 132, 131

Pros:

  • Relatively young

  • High PB potential - strong at crossing and key passes

  • Dropped 20% from his peak price in 2020

  • Assuming fixtures are still in the same order when football returns - Anger's first 2 games will be against 19th and 20th

Cons:

  • May remain a fairly stagnant hold up until Ligue 1 returns (Which seems months away for now)







© 2019 by Football Index Club

  • Facebook Social Icon
  • Twitter Social Icon